This post was mentioned on Twitter by prayerteam: RT @OnlyOneWayUp: The Case Against NYs Dede Scozzafava http://is.gd/4vQ5M #pb #ocra #conservative #tcot…

“There is no doubt in my mind that she will come in last,” said George Marlin, a conservative blogger and banker. “Once again, the Republicans learn that you cannot out-Democrat the Democrats. And when you try to, your base explodes.”

This is something Republican candidates should always remember.

1. The selection of Scazzafava was done before the State Party Committee voted for Ed Cox to be the chairman. That means, come hell or high water, he has to help raise money for her and get support behind her so she can win. It will be considered his first test as State Chair and one cannot say it should be his fault if she loses.

2. The Conservative Party is currently infuriating me. New York State is one of those few states that give ballot line status for any “third” party that can get 50,000 votes or more on its line for governor every four years. The CP successfully got on the ballot in 1962 and has been placed anywhere from third on the line to sixth on the line (it’s currently the fourth line out of five ballot line parties). Having said all this, the party has done nothing, NOTHING to give it credibility after falling into an abyss well before the Republican Party ever did. This coming from a Party that almost received more votes for governor than the Republican Party candidate in 1990.

The Conservative Party would rather tell you how unqualified Scazzafava is to be a Republican candidate rather than even mention the name of their candidate and why he would be more preferable than the Republican candidate and Democratic candidate, Bill Owens.

New York State has what is called a Wilson Pakula which allows for a “fusion” ticket. That means, more than one party can support the same candidate. Often the Conservative Party will be the second line for a Republican as the Working Families Line will be the second line for a Democrat. This is reasonable and not much of an issue with me when it comes to a General Election, but a Special Election such as this one, often times, out of all five parties on the ballot, the Conservative Party runs NO ONE (not even a cross endorsement!)

In 2006, there were three Special Elections for Assembly Districts in Manhattan (65 AD, 67 AD, 74 AD). Yeah, Manhattan is liberal. Republicans can’t win. But what happened to representing all voters? There are conservative voters in Manhattan if small.

The four other Parties on the ballot (Democrat, Republican, Independence & Working Families) had candidates in the Special Elections or cross endorsed the Democrat. The only Party that failed to represent its base? The Conservative Party.

Right now, 2009 is NYC’s year for electing a mayor. We have a liberal Democrat it Bill Thompson and we have a liberal Independent who bought the Republican line in Mike Bloomberg. We also have a Conservative Party candidate, but no one would know and conservatives will likely stay home on November 3. The Conservative Party is failing to do what it was founded to do.

I hope Doug Hoffman wins and becomes the modern day James Buckley but with the current behavior of Conservative Party leaders and how it would prefer criticizing the Republican Party and not promote their own guy, I doubt it.

NYGOP needs to find some testes if they want to win voters.

the gop is so out of touch.